NMAK20001U Mathematical Modelling in Epidemiology

Volume 2020/2021

MSc Programme in Statistics



Epidemiology may be thought of as the study of patterns of health and disease in populations. Mathematical modelling is one of the cornerstones of modern epidemiology, and in this course we will cover various analytic techniques used to interrogate and understand epidemics. Particular topics may include: deterministic and stochastic modelling; simulation and analysis; transmission dynamics; agent-based models; compartmental models; network models; vector-based models.

Learning Outcome



  1. Knowledge of modelling, simulation and analysis techniques used in epidemiology


  1. Ability to create appropriate models to analyse epidemic behaviour
  2. Ability to undertake critical analysis and validation of models
  3. Ability to interpret the output of models
  4. Ability to undertake self-directed research for mathematical modelling approaches



  1. Create, parameterise, fit, evaluate, and interpret the results of models for understanding population disease dynamics


See Absalon for a list of course literature

Lectures and exercise classes
  • Category
  • Hours
  • Lectures
  • 35
  • Preparation
  • 107
  • Practical exercises
  • 35
  • Project work
  • 25
  • Exam
  • 4
  • Total
  • 206
Continuous feedback during the course of the semester
7,5 ECTS
Type of assessment
Written examination, 4 hrs. under invigilation
Supervised written exam of 4hrs, including the use of computers for modelling
Exam registration requirements

Complete at least one of two within-course assignments

All aids allowed
Marking scale
7-point grading scale
Censorship form
No external censorship
One internal examiner

Same as the ordinary exam. If the required amount of within-course assignments is not approved before the ordinary exam, they must be approved no later than three weeks before the beginning of the re-exam week. 

If ten or fewer students have signed up for re-exam, the type of assesment will be changed to oral exam. 

Criteria for exam assesment

To achieve a 12, students must convincingly demonstrate that they have attained the knowledge, skills, and competences described here.